Today's NBA best bets, odds, expert picks, player props: Nets vs. Celtics, more
Wednesday's NBA playoffs continue with three more games for bettors to target: the Nets at the Celtics (-3.5), 76 (-2) at the Raptors, and the Bulls at the Bucks (-10). The Nets-Celtics could be another fast-paced classic, and we'll probably see more fights from the Raptors at home after Philly's 2-0 loss. Meanwhile, the playmakers clearly aren't expecting much from the bulls, who are once again double-digit underdogs despite covering +10.5 in losing Game 1. Let's take a look at tonight's NBA odds, major betting trends and expert picks. from BetQL before you place any bets on Wednesday's matches.
One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model has been on fire over the past two weeks, up 183-104 (64 percent) in all two-star picks and higher with a total return of $1,173 on a $100 bet!.
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Wednesday's NBA playoffs continue with three more games for bettors to target: the Nets at the Celtics (-3.5), 76 (-2) at the Raptors, and the Bulls at the Bucks (-10). The Nets-Celtics could be another fast-paced classic, and we'll probably see more fights from the Raptors at home after Philly's 2-0 loss. Meanwhile, the playmakers clearly aren't expecting much from the bulls, who are once again double-digit underdogs despite covering +10.5 in losing Game 1. Let's take a look at tonight's NBA odds, major betting trends and expert picks. from BetQL before you place any bets on Wednesday's matches.
NBA Playoffs: Best bets, odds, expert picks, & betting trends for Wednesday
LATEST NBA BETTING TRENDS: Odds | Over/Unders | Expert picks
Nets at Celtics (-3.5), O/U 227.5
Directions: Not a bad start to this series, right? Jason Tatum's throw at the bell finished 31 points and helped Boston lead 1–0. However, the nets were still able to cover +4, and over 226.5 hits as well.
The Celtics are 24-14 ATS classmates when playing against a team that has a winning record this season, but the Nets are 14-6 ATS avenging a loss against an opponent on the road this season. It twisted your mind a bit, didn't it?
The truth here is that this series looks set to be one of our best in the first round, with legitimate aspirations in Brooklyn and Boston. You can expect a better match from Kevin Durant this time around after he shot just 9 for 24 from the field and 1 for 5 from outside the arc while committing six polls in 41 minutes. Brooklyn also didn't get enough guys like Seth Curry, Bruce Brown or Patty Mills, so it'll also look at the possibility of tackling it this time around.
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Top Player Prop: Kevin Durant OVER 29.5 points (-116) on FanDuel
With both Brooklyn and Boston legitimately chasing a title, the heat in the series has only heated up. As we said before, Durant would be better. You just don't take it on that good guy who's grumpy and trying to win a title.
BetQL Crew Pick: Celtics -3.5. All eyes will be on this game to see if Kyrie Irving continues to play back and forth with the Celtics fans (which I hope he does) after being fined $50,000 by the league for his actions in the first game. I think the Celtics can handle the Nets heavyweight. BetQL reports that the Celtics earned 21-8 ATS in the second half of the season versus teams averaging 23 assists per game. With this trend in mind, I really like the Celtics taking this 2 game a bit further. - Lucy Bridge
76ers (1.5) at Raptors, O/U 216.5
Trends: The Sixers seem to be clearly in control of this series with a 2-0 lead and they easily cover both games, winning by an average of 17.5 points.
However, Nick Nurse is 25-7 ATS after failing to cover the difference in three or more consecutive games while training in Toronto, and they are 0-3-1 ATS returning to the regular season. However, Toronto needs to find a way to stop Joel Embiid on the board. His 13 rebounds per game don't make things easier for Toronto, who could use Scotty Barnes (his left ankle) again in the lineup as well.
Keep in mind that the Sixers will not have Matisse Thybulle in Toronto due to his vaccination status, so they are missing out on one of the best defenders in the game. BetQL has been ranked on UNDER as one of the best bets by value on Wednesday, so with the spread coming soon, it may be worth heading in that direction instead.
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Top Player Prop: Joel Embiid OVER 1.5 made three-pointers (+130) on DraftKings.
Embiid hit at least two out of three throws in three of his last four regular season games, and having a number as low as that for the extra money is definitely worth playing. Embiid is only 1 against 4 in depth in the first two games of the series, but should step over the ocean further in what is expected to be a closer game. BetQL expects Embiid to do three times tonight, giving this prop an impressive value at +130.
BetQL Crew Pick: 76ers -1.5. am I missing something? I understand Thybulle, one of Philly's star defenders, can't play in Toronto, but this Raptors don't have an answer for Embiid and Co. The 76ers won Game 1 by 20 points and won by 15 points in Game 2, however they would prefer only 1.5 points in Game Three. Sure, the match will take place at the Toronto Stadium, but that won't change the rosters. BetQL expects Embiid to dominate with 26 points, 14 rebounds, and five assists, while Harden is expected to score 19 points, eight rebounds, and nine assists. Plus, with the way Tobias Harris and Therese play Maxi, it's hard not to love Philly in this spot. - Dan Karbock
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LATEST NBA BETTING TRENDS: Odds | Over/Unders | Expert picks
Bulls at Bucks (-10), O/U 225
Directions: Even with the Bucks struggling in the second half of Game 1, it certainly doesn't seem like sportsbookers are willing to move the streak much here, with Milwaukee also closing in as a 10-point favorite in Game 1.
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The Bulls continue to fall defensively, sitting 28th in the NBA in defensive rankings over their past 10 games, but have found a way to give the high-scoring Bucks points in Game 1.
If Khris Middleton can do better in Game 2 (only 11 points last), then Milwaukee should be in much better shape. See how BetQL tends to the Bulls-Bucks 2 game.
Best bet on the player prop: Jrue Holiday has less than 7.5 assists (+115) in the draft kings. Vacation was reserved for only six assists in Game 1 and he may have to pick up more of his scoring burden if Middleton struggles again as he did in Game 1. The win for you is the extra money, so it's worth playing for less than solid value.
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BetQL Staff Pick: Over 225 total. The total in Game 1 of this series closed at 230, and OVER had a massive 59% advantage in terms of pro money, according to BetQL. In other words, Sharps were knocking OVER in Game 1, which turned into a low-goal rock fight, 93-86 (179 points) won by the Bucks. This cut my Game 2 total down to 225. I wouldn't expect such poor shooting performance from any team again, so I fully expect Sharps to hammer OVER again on a smaller number. For both the Bulls and Bucks, the scoring weapons are pretty good, and these defenses are so mediocre that they bring the total under 225. In the last six games before Match 1, these teams have combined to go 11-1 O/U. You can track BetQL sharp money to see where the pros are betting on Game 2, but don't be surprised if they push that number up with a tip. - Brad Pinkerton
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our top bets, including NBA player props, with star ratings for each game. Subscribe to the BetQL Day Pass!
Directions: Not a bad start to this series, right? Jason Tatum's throw at the bell finished 31 points and helped Boston lead 1–0. However, the nets were still able to cover +4, and over 226.5 hits as well.
The Celtics are 24-14 ATS classmates when playing against a team that has a winning record this season, but the Nets are 14-6 ATS avenging a loss against an opponent on the road this season. It twisted your mind a bit, didn't it?
The truth here is that this series looks set to be one of our best in the first round, with legitimate aspirations in Brooklyn and Boston. You can expect a better match from Kevin Durant this time around after he shot just 9 for 24 from the field and 1 for 5 from outside the arc while committing six polls in 41 minutes. Brooklyn also didn't get enough guys like Seth Curry, Bruce Brown or Patty Mills, so it'll also look at the possibility of tackling it this time around.
Open Next Page to continue reading
Top Player Prop: Kevin Durant OVER 29.5 points (-116) on FanDuel
With both Brooklyn and Boston legitimately chasing a title, the heat in the series has only heated up. As we said before, Durant would be better. You just don't take it on that good guy who's grumpy and trying to win a title.
BetQL Crew Pick: Celtics -3.5. All eyes will be on this game to see if Kyrie Irving continues to play back and forth with the Celtics fans (which I hope he does) after being fined $50,000 by the league for his actions in the first game. I think the Celtics can handle the Nets heavyweight. BetQL reports that the Celtics earned 21-8 ATS in the second half of the season versus teams averaging 23 assists per game. With this trend in mind, I really like the Celtics taking this 2 game a bit further. - Lucy Bridge
76ers (1.5) at Raptors, O/U 216.5
Trends: The Sixers seem to be clearly in control of this series with a 2-0 lead and they easily cover both games, winning by an average of 17.5 points.
However, Nick Nurse is 25-7 ATS after failing to cover the difference in three or more consecutive games while training in Toronto, and they are 0-3-1 ATS returning to the regular season. However, Toronto needs to find a way to stop Joel Embiid on the board. His 13 rebounds per game don't make things easier for Toronto, who could use Scotty Barnes (his left ankle) again in the lineup as well.
Keep in mind that the Sixers will not have Matisse Thybulle in Toronto due to his vaccination status, so they are missing out on one of the best defenders in the game. BetQL has been ranked on UNDER as one of the best bets by value on Wednesday, so with the spread coming soon, it may be worth heading in that direction instead.
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Top Player Prop: Joel Embiid OVER 1.5 made three-pointers (+130) on DraftKings.
Embiid hit at least two out of three throws in three of his last four regular season games, and having a number as low as that for the extra money is definitely worth playing. Embiid is only 1 against 4 in depth in the first two games of the series, but should step over the ocean further in what is expected to be a closer game. BetQL expects Embiid to do three times tonight, giving this prop an impressive value at +130.
BetQL Crew Pick: 76ers -1.5. am I missing something? I understand Thybulle, one of Philly's star defenders, can't play in Toronto, but this Raptors don't have an answer for Embiid and Co. The 76ers won Game 1 by 20 points and won by 15 points in Game 2, however they would prefer only 1.5 points in Game Three. Sure, the match will take place at the Toronto Stadium, but that won't change the rosters. BetQL expects Embiid to dominate with 26 points, 14 rebounds, and five assists, while Harden is expected to score 19 points, eight rebounds, and nine assists. Plus, with the way Tobias Harris and Therese play Maxi, it's hard not to love Philly in this spot. - Dan Karbock
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LATEST NBA BETTING TRENDS: Odds | Over/Unders | Expert picks
Bulls at Bucks (-10), O/U 225
Directions: Even with the Bucks struggling in the second half of Game 1, it certainly doesn't seem like sportsbookers are willing to move the streak much here, with Milwaukee also closing in as a 10-point favorite in Game 1.
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The Bulls continue to fall defensively, sitting 28th in the NBA in defensive rankings over their past 10 games, but have found a way to give the high-scoring Bucks points in Game 1.
If Khris Middleton can do better in Game 2 (only 11 points last), then Milwaukee should be in much better shape. See how BetQL tends to the Bulls-Bucks 2 game.
Best bet on the player prop: Jrue Holiday has less than 7.5 assists (+115) in the draft kings. Vacation was reserved for only six assists in Game 1 and he may have to pick up more of his scoring burden if Middleton struggles again as he did in Game 1. The win for you is the extra money, so it's worth playing for less than solid value.
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BetQL Staff Pick: Over 225 total. The total in Game 1 of this series closed at 230, and OVER had a massive 59% advantage in terms of pro money, according to BetQL. In other words, Sharps were knocking OVER in Game 1, which turned into a low-goal rock fight, 93-86 (179 points) won by the Bucks. This cut my Game 2 total down to 225. I wouldn't expect such poor shooting performance from any team again, so I fully expect Sharps to hammer OVER again on a smaller number. For both the Bulls and Bucks, the scoring weapons are pretty good, and these defenses are so mediocre that they bring the total under 225. In the last six games before Match 1, these teams have combined to go 11-1 O/U. You can track BetQL sharp money to see where the pros are betting on Game 2, but don't be surprised if they push that number up with a tip. - Brad Pinkerton
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our top bets, including NBA player props, with star ratings for each game. Subscribe to the BetQL Day Pass!